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Fed / Rates
FOMC decisions, rate cuts and hikes, Powell, and Fed leadership risk.
20 live markets·$36M total vol·Next resolves Jun 30
Structure
Protection horizon
0 selected
POWL
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$316K Vol.$25K Liq.
CHAIR
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?
ResolvesJun 30
$52K Vol.$20K Liq.
POWL
Fed Decision in July?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJul 29
$22M Vol.$1M Liq.
POWL
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesJul 29
$105K Vol.$68K Liq.
CHAIR
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJul 29
$8K Vol.$3K Liq.
POWL
Fed Decision in September?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesSep 16
$897K Vol.$112K Liq.
POWL
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesSep 16
$27K Vol.$46K Liq.
POWL
Fed Decision in October?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesOct 28
$108K Vol.$22K Liq.
POWL
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pick outcome9 options
ResolvesOct 28
$49K Vol.$36K Liq.
CHAIR
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Pick outcome12 options
ResolvesDec 9
$7M Vol.$10K Liq.
POWL
Fed rate hike in 2026?
ResolvesDec 9
$3M Vol.$205K Liq.
POWL
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Pick outcome11 options
ResolvesDec 31
$2M Vol.$7K Liq.
CHAIR
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
ResolvesDec 31
$424K Vol.$7K Liq.
POWL
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Pick outcome6 options
ResolvesDec 31
$240K Vol.$2K Liq.
FED
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Pick outcome8 options
ResolvesDec 31
$219K Vol.$7K Liq.
FED
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$112K Vol.$18K Liq.
FED
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
ResolvesDec 31
$41K Vol.$4K Liq.
CHAIR
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$20K Vol.$3K Liq.
FED
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
ResolvesDec 31
$13K Vol.$4K Liq.
CHAIR
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$5K Vol.$9K Liq.