fomc·FOMC

Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
No change
$398K Vol.
85%85.0¢
25 bps decrease
$181K Vol.
10%9.5¢
25 bps increase
$3M Vol.
3%2.7¢
50+ bps decrease
$269K Vol.
2%2.1¢
50+ bps increase
$282K Vol.
1%0.9¢
Principal Protected Note

No change

If No change wins

18.1%APY

$

Max $552,299.00 · limited by Polymarket depth

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 18.1%Fixed up to 15.6%
PT tokenPT-apyUSD-18JUN2026
UnderlyingapyUSD (Stablecoin)
Pendle pool$11M TVL · 15.5% base
Polymarket$53K Liq.
Max slippage
Principal + fixed yield$980.78
Conditional yield premium$19.22
Total invested$1,000.00

If No change wins

by Jun 18, 2026

$1,022.61

18.1% APY

If No change does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

apyUSD

PT swap on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedMar 19, 2026
Market EndsJul 29, 2026
Market ResolutionPending