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Diplomacy / Ceasefires
Peace deals, ceasefires, talks, recognition, and formal negotiation markets.
50 live markets·$106M total vol·Next resolves Jun 30
Structure
Protection horizon
0 selected
IRAN
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$12M Vol.$287K Liq.
MIDEAST
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJun 30
$6M Vol.$50K Liq.
GAZA
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
ResolvesJun 30
$4M Vol.$33K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$2M Vol.$39K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
ResolvesJun 30
$2M Vol.$43K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$779K Vol.$77K Liq.
UKRAINE
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesJun 30
$604K Vol.$42 Liq.
UKRAINE
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
ResolvesJun 30
$446K Vol.$59K Liq.
IRAN
Who will meet with Iran by June 30?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesJun 30
$193K Vol.$18K Liq.
UKRAINE
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$171K Vol.$33K Liq.
MIDEAST
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
ResolvesJun 30
$115K Vol.$28K Liq.
IRAN
Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?
Pick outcome10 options
ResolvesJun 30
$195K Vol.$20K Liq.
IRAN
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
ResolvesJun 30
$4M Vol.$61K Liq.
IRAN
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
Pick outcome12 options
ResolvesJul 7
$881K Vol.$22K Liq.
IRAN
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
ResolvesJul 31
$744K Vol.$54K Liq.
IRAN
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Pick outcome4 options
ResolvesJul 31
$563K Vol.$61K Liq.
IRAN
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesJul 31
$402K Vol.$54K Liq.
IRAN
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesJul 31
$74K Vol.$28K Liq.
IRAN
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Pick outcome8 options
ResolvesAug 1
$2M Vol.$28K Liq.
IRAN
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
ResolvesAug 20
$9K Vol.$78K Liq.
IRAN
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Pick outcome7 options
ResolvesAug 31
$3M Vol.$257K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
ResolvesAug 31
$26K Vol.$17K Liq.
IRAN
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?
Pick outcome12 options
ResolvesAug 31
$14K Vol.$19K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
ResolvesAug 31
$14K Vol.$20K Liq.
IRAN
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Pick outcome12 options
ResolvesSep 30
$254K Vol.$37K Liq.
IRAN
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
ResolvesSep 30
$10K Vol.$31K Liq.
IRAN
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$28M Vol.$107K Liq.
IRAN
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$17M Vol.$99K Liq.
UKRAINE
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Pick outcome4 options
ResolvesDec 31
$5M Vol.$131K Liq.
ISRAEL
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$3M Vol.$18K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$2M Vol.$82K Liq.
ISRAEL
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$2M Vol.$14K Liq.
IRAN
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
ResolvesDec 31
$1M Vol.$75K Liq.
UKRAINE
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$648K Vol.$52K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$488K Vol.$17K Liq.
UKRAINE
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$435K Vol.$15K Liq.
ISRAEL
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$264K Vol.$28K Liq.
LEBANON
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$213K Vol.$41K Liq.
UKRAINE
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$182K Vol.$16K Liq.
UKRAINE
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$143K Vol.$18K Liq.
IRAN
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$129K Vol.$29K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$119K Vol.$39K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$97K Vol.$21K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
ResolvesDec 31
$29K Vol.$20K Liq.
MIDEAST
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
ResolvesDec 31
$17K Vol.$3K Liq.
UKRAINE
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesDec 31
$3M Vol.$25K Liq.
UKRAINE
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$36K Vol.$35K Liq.
IRAN
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Pick outcome6 options
ResolvesDec 31
$88K Vol.$35K Liq.
LEBANON
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Pick outcome3 options
$568K Vol.$15K Liq.
IRAN
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?
$169K Vol.$12K Liq.