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Shipping / Energy
Hormuz, blockades, shipping lanes, transit risk, and energy-linked disruption markets.
23 live markets·$45M total vol·Next resolves Jun 28
Structure
Protection horizon
0 selected
HORMUZ
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJun 28
$67K Vol.$25K Liq.
HORMUZ
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesJun 30
$13M Vol.$253K Liq.
HORMUZ
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesJun 30
$5M Vol.$59K Liq.
CHINA
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$2M Vol.$283K Liq.
HORMUZ
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$1M Vol.$153K Liq.
HORMUZ
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Pick outcome12 options
ResolvesJun 30
$1M Vol.$14K Liq.
HORMUZ
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
ResolvesJun 30
$25K Vol.$31K Liq.
HORMUZ
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesJun 30
$3M Vol.$36K Liq.
HORMUZ
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJun 30
$348K Vol.$25K Liq.
HORMUZ
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJul 5
$6K Vol.$14K Liq.
HORMUZ
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
ResolvesJul 7
$213K Vol.$90K Liq.
IRAN
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
Pick outcome11 options
ResolvesJul 9
$325K Vol.$22K Liq.
HORMUZ
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
ResolvesJul 15
$5M Vol.$202K Liq.
HORMUZ
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesJul 31
$5K Vol.$8K Liq.
HORMUZ
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
Pick outcome4 options
ResolvesJul 31
$488 Vol.$2K Liq.
HORMUZ
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
Pick outcome5 options
ResolvesJul 31
$300 Vol.$7K Liq.
HORMUZ
Iran full airspace closure by...?
Pick outcome4 options
ResolvesAug 31
$99K Vol.$13K Liq.
HORMUZ
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
Pick outcome2 options
ResolvesAug 31
$30K Vol.$24K Liq.
IRAN
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
ResolvesDec 31
$12M Vol.$122K Liq.
UKRAINE
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$632K Vol.$98K Liq.
HORMUZ
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
ResolvesDec 31
$118K Vol.$19K Liq.
CHINA
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
ResolvesDec 31
$46K Vol.$23K Liq.
HORMUZ
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
Pick outcome3 options
ResolvesDec 31
$289K Vol.$53K Liq.