Elections

Next French Presidential Election

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Jordan Bardella
$824K Vol.
23%22.5¢
Édouard Philippe
$632K Vol.
22%22.0¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$429K Vol.
9%8.5¢
Marine Le Pen
$447K Vol.
6%5.5¢
Dominique de Villepin
$1M Vol.
5%5.3¢
François Hollande
$926K Vol.
4%4.3¢
Gabriel Attal
$1M Vol.
4%3.9¢
Bruno Retailleau
$1M Vol.
4%3.8¢
David Lisnard
$1M Vol.
4%3.6¢
Sarah Knafo
$1M Vol.
2%2.1¢
Raphaël Glucksmann
$731K Vol.
2%2.1¢
Jean Castex
$677K Vol.
2%1.6¢
Bernard Cazeneuve
$1M Vol.
1%1.5¢
Sébastien Lecornu
$828K Vol.
1%1.3¢
Gérald Darmanin
$605K Vol.
1%1.1¢
Éric Zemmour
$1M Vol.
1%1.1¢
Fabien Roussel
$2M Vol.
1%0.9¢
Laurent Wauquiez
$1M Vol.
1%0.8¢
Valérie Pécresse
$2M Vol.
1%0.8¢
Clémentine Autain
$2M Vol.
1%0.8¢
Clémence Guetté
$2M Vol.
1%0.8¢
François Asselineau
$3M Vol.
1%0.7¢
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$2M Vol.
1%0.7¢
Carole Delga
$2M Vol.
1%0.7¢
Juan Branco
$732K Vol.
1%0.7¢
François Ruffin
$796K Vol.
1%0.7¢
Élisabeth Borne
$3M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Manuel Bompard
$2M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Xavier Bertrand
$2M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Olivier Faure
$2M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Ségolène Royal
$2M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Mathilde Panot
$2M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Marine Tondelier
$1M Vol.
<1%0.4¢
Michel Barnier
$2M Vol.
<1%0.4¢
François Bayrou
$3M Vol.
<1%0.4¢
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2M Vol.
<1%0.4¢
Principal Protected Note

Jordan Bardella

If Jordan Bardella wins

21.2%APY

$

Exceeds max — reduce your amount ($500 available)

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 21.2%Fixed up to 5%
Deposit tokenaUSDC
UnderlyingUSDC (Stablecoin)
Aave V35% est. APY
Polymarket$230K Liq.
Principal + fixed yield$952.35
Conditional yield premium$47.65
Total invested$1,000.00

If Jordan Bardella wins

by Apr 30, 2027

$1,211.76

21.2% APY

If Jordan Bardella does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

USDC

Aave deposit on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedNov 12, 2025
Market EndsApr 30, 2027
Market ResolutionPending