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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) | Polynotes
Politics
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Timeline
Market Created
Apr 27, 2026
Market Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
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2
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3
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4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
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5
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
21%
Politics
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Market Rules
Starmer - UK PM
$937K Vol.
92%
91.5¢
8.5¢
Petro - Colombia President
$838K Vol.
4%
4.1¢
95.9¢
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$233K Vol.
1%
1.1¢
98.9¢
Abbas - President of Palestine
$178K Vol.
1%
0.7¢
99.3¢
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$233K Vol.
<1%
0.4¢
99.7¢
Putin - Russia President
$181K Vol.
<1%
0.3¢
99.8¢
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$160K Vol.
<1%
0.3¢
99.8¢
None before 2027
$520K Vol.
<1%
0.3¢
99.8¢
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$2M Vol.
<1%
0.2¢
99.8¢
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$131K Vol.
<1%
0.2¢
99.8¢
Merz - German Chancellor
$123K Vol.
<1%
0.2¢
99.8¢
Trump - USA President
$160K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$119K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$125K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$124K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Albanese - Australia PM
$71K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Newsom - California Governor
$78K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Lecornu - France PM
$101K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Takaichi - Japan PM
$84K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
Macron - France President
$91K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
100.0¢
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$121K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
100.0¢
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$76K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
100.0¢
Milei - Argentina President
$57K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
100.0¢
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$68K Vol.
<1%
0.1¢
100.0¢
Timeline
Market Created
Apr 27, 2026
Market Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
97%
2
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
1%
3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
9%
4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
0%
5
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
21%
