Polynotes
Search markets
World Cup
⚽
Loading note
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? | Polynotes
Strait of Hormuz
·
Trump agree Iran
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Timeline
Market Created
May 21, 2026
Market Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2%
2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%
3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
37%
4
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
100%
5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
14%
Strait of Hormuz
·
Trump agree Iran
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Market Rules
Troop Withdrawal
$7M Vol.
100%
100.0¢
0.0¢
Oil Sanction Relief
$723K Vol.
100%
100.0¢
0.0¢
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
$1M Vol.
100%
100.0¢
0.0¢
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
$2M Vol.
2%
1.8¢
98.2¢
Enrichment of Uranium
$2M Vol.
1%
0.8¢
99.3¢
Timeline
Market Created
May 21, 2026
Market Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2%
2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%
3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
37%
4
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
100%
5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
14%