Tech·Best AI Company

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Anthropic
$2M Vol.
99%98.9¢
OpenAI
$4M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Google
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
xAI
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Baidu
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Amazon
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Mistral
$716K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Meituan
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Meta
$589K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Alibaba
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
ByteDance
$952K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Moonshot
$814K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Z.ai
$1M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
DeepSeek
$3M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Microsoft
$202K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Principal Protected Note

Anthropic

If Anthropic wins

13.8%APY

$

Max $502,475.00 · limited by Pendle depth

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 13.8%Fixed up to 13.7%
PT tokenPT-avUSD-14MAY2026
UnderlyingavUSD (Stablecoin)
Pendle pool$2M TVL · 13.5% base
Polymarket$37K Liq.
Max slippage
Principal + fixed yield$995.07
Conditional yield premium$4.93
Total invested$1,000.00

If Anthropic wins

by May 14, 2026

$1,004.98

13.8% APY

If Anthropic does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

avUSD

PT swap on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedMar 20, 2026
Market EndsApr 30, 2026
Market ResolutionPending