Trump

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kevin Warsh
$12M Vol.
99%99.2¢
Judy Shelton
$17M Vol.
1%0.5¢
Christopher Waller
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Jerome Powell
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Scott Bessent
$5M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Michelle Bowman
$3M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Kevin Hassett
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Stephen Miran
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Rick Reider
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Principal Protected Note

Kevin Warsh

If Kevin Warsh wins

8.2%APY

$

Est. max $524K · limited by Pendle depth

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 8.2%Fixed up to 8.5%
PT tokenPT-superUSDC-26NOV2026
UnderlyingsuperUSDC (Stablecoin)
Pendle pool$56K TVL · 8.5% base
Polymarket$383K Liq.
Max slippage
Principal + fixed yield$954.17
Conditional yield premium$45.83
Total invested$1,000.00

If Kevin Warsh wins

by Nov 26, 2026

$1,046.29

8.2% APY

If Kevin Warsh does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

superUSDC

PT swap on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedMar 4, 2026
Market EndsOct 31, 2026
Market ResolutionPending