Israel

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
$1M Vol.
14%13.5¢
June 30
$3M Vol.
6%5.5¢
May 31
$656K Vol.
3%2.5¢
April 30
$2M Vol.
<1%0.1¢
February 28
$451K Vol.
0%0.0¢
March 31
$9M Vol.
0%0.0¢
January 31
$547K Vol.
0%0.0¢
Principal Protected Note

December 31

If December 31 wins

154.6%APY

$

Max $502,475.00 · limited by Pendle depth

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 154.6%Fixed up to 13.7%
PT tokenPT-avUSD-14MAY2026
UnderlyingavUSD (Stablecoin)
Pendle pool$2M TVL · 13.5% base
Polymarket$113K Liq.
Max slippage
Principal + fixed yield$995.07
Conditional yield premium$4.93
Total invested$1,000.00

If December 31 wins

by May 14, 2026

$1,036.49

154.6% APY

If December 31 does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

avUSD

PT swap on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedJan 2, 2026
Market EndsJun 30, 2026
Market ResolutionPending