Tech

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
>$1T
$291K Vol.
93%93.4¢
>$1.2T
$206K Vol.
92%91.5¢
>$1.4T
$94K Vol.
90%89.5¢
>$1.6T
$69K Vol.
81%80.5¢
>$1.8T
$53K Vol.
72%72.0¢
>$2T
$196K Vol.
63%63.0¢
>$2.2T
$32K Vol.
49%49.0¢
>$2.4T
$129K Vol.
36%35.5¢
>$3T
$432K Vol.
13%12.5¢
Principal Protected Note

>$1T

If >$1T wins

4.9%APY

$

Exceeds max — reduce your amount ($500 available)

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 4.9%Fixed up to 5%
Deposit tokenaUSDC
UnderlyingUSDC (Stablecoin)
Aave V35% est. APY
Polymarket$15K Liq.
Principal + fixed yield$921.67
Conditional yield premium$78.33
Total invested$1,000.00

If >$1T wins

by Dec 31, 2027

$1,083.87

4.9% APY

If >$1T does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

USDC

Aave deposit on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedDec 10, 2025
Market EndsDec 31, 2027
Market ResolutionPending