Tech

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
2.0T+
$190K Vol.
58%58.0¢
1.8T–2.0T
$96K Vol.
14%14.5¢
1.6T–1.8T
$112K Vol.
12%12.0¢
1.4T–1.6T
$110K Vol.
5%5.3¢
No IPO before 2028
$175K Vol.
3%3.5¢
1.2T–1.4T
$65K Vol.
3%3.4¢
<1.0T
$65K Vol.
3%3.4¢
1.0T–1.2T
$48K Vol.
3%2.7¢
Principal Protected Note

2.0T+

If 2.0T+ wins

7.9%APY

$

Exceeds max — reduce your amount ($500 available)

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 7.9%Fixed up to 5%
Deposit tokenaUSDC
UnderlyingUSDC (Stablecoin)
Aave V35% est. APY
Polymarket$22K Liq.
Principal + fixed yield$921.67
Conditional yield premium$78.33
Total invested$1,000.00

If 2.0T+ wins

by Dec 31, 2027

$1,135.06

7.9% APY

If 2.0T+ does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

USDC

Aave deposit on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedJan 23, 2026
Market EndsDec 31, 2027
Market ResolutionPending