Tech·Third Best AI Company

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Google
$143K Vol.
95%95.0¢
Anthropic
$327K Vol.
6%6.0¢
OpenAI
$93K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Mistral
$15K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Baidu
$26K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
DeepSeek
$105K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Alibaba
$42K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
ByteDance
$30K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Moonshot
$16K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Amazon
$33K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Z.ai
$35K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Meta
$40K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Microsoft
$22K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
xAI
$110K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Meituan
$13K Vol.
<1%0.1¢
Principal Protected Note

Google

If Google wins

14.4%APY

$

Max $156,514.00 · limited by Polymarket depth

Fully conditional
Conditional up to 14.4%Fixed up to 13.7%
PT tokenPT-avUSD-14MAY2026
UnderlyingavUSD (Stablecoin)
Pendle pool$2M TVL · 13.5% base
Polymarket$4K Liq.
Max slippage
Principal + fixed yield$995.09
Conditional yield premium$4.91
Total invested$1,000.00

If Google wins

by May 14, 2026

$1,005.17

14.4% APY

If Google does not win

principal only

$1,000.00

avUSD

PT swap on Mainnet · Bet on Polymarket

Timeline

Market CreatedMar 20, 2026
Market EndsApr 30, 2026
Market ResolutionPending