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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Polynotes
Geopolitics
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Timeline
Market Created
Jan 13, 2026
Market Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
1%
2
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
91%
3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1%
4
Iran leadership change by...?
16%
5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%
Geopolitics
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Market Rules
Timeline
Market Created
Jan 13, 2026
Market Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
1%
2
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
91%
3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1%
4
Iran leadership change by...?
16%
5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
4%