Polynotes
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What is a Polynote?
SpaceX
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Market Rules
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Successful splash down?
$200K Vol.
2%
1.6¢
98.5¢
Super Heavy booster explodes?
$252K Vol.
1%
0.9¢
99.1¢
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
$229K Vol.
1%
0.8¢
99.2¢
April 30
$48K Vol.
1%
0.6¢
99.4¢
November 30
$44K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
December 31
$258K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
January 31
$201K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
February 28
$39K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
March 31
$179K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
April 7
$3K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
April 14
$17K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
April 21
$61K Vol.
0%
0.0¢
100.0¢
Timeline
Market Created
Oct 17, 2025
Market Ends
Jan 31, 2026
Market Resolution
Pending
Related Markets
1
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
0%
2
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
1%
3
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
12%
4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
93%
5
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
0%